Oct 22, 20251 min read
Intermittent demand analysis
Intermittent demand is often marked by many periods with zero demand and occasional periods with nonzero demand, making it challenging for demand planners. In this article I examine the performance of four machine learning models—LSTM/RNN, SARIMA, XGBoost, and Croston—for estimating intermittent demand. To evaluate these models, I conducted 40 rounds of time series simulations using two patterns: 20 series based on a lognormal distribution (featuring numerous zeros and low-de